高危后感染的危险到底多大：最权威的数据（BDKJ照样有病例）

不知道是

回复 10# fjgoodluck
看看美国专家的回复：1/20000只是个理论风险
by H. Hunter Handsfield, M.D., Oct 30, 2007 09:35PM
There is a major disconnect from your opening sentences.  Receiving oral sex hardly counts as a terrifying experience!  Nobody has been proved to ever catch HIV by receiving a BJ, and some experts believe it to be no risk at all.  Everyone agrees that if there is a risk, it is in the range of 1 per 20,000 exposures.  To put that in perspective, that means receiving a BJ by an infected partner every day for 55 years before getting infected.
没有人被证明通过BDKJ感染，一些专家相信BDKJ没有风险，所有专家都同意最大的风险在1/20000，这个相当于一个人每天接受感染者的一次KJ，过了55年才可能被感染
Second, as has been said innumerable times on this forum, symptoms never are a useful indicator for or gainst new HIV infection. Every symptom caused by ARS is more commonly caused by other common infections, and your symptoms don't suggest HIV anyway.  You did not need testing at all. You don't have HIV.  The stress and anxiety sound like the only health problem here.

HHH, MD

王老吉

这个数据肯定不正确，输血绝对是100%，至少也是99%以上，怎么会只有90%，无套XJ怎么比无套肛交几率还高，这个有依据吗？

fjgoodluck

是美国人搞的！有依据！！输血是几乎百分之百！！也有不中的！！ 13# 王老吉

不知道是

回复 12# freewin


1/20000是一个最保守的数据（确定对方是感染者的情况，大部分小姐都没有HIV），有可能真正的概率在1/500000或者根本是0。实际中没有案例。
BDKJ是否中HIV，从概率学的角度，当然可能，只是不要担心，因为你同样可能明天在马路上被撞死，这个概率可能高很多。